Soccer

Wednesday Champions League Best Bet:
Bodo/Glimt vs Dortmund

Two teams that rarely play a quiet game meet on the artificial turf at Aspmyra, with both attacks set up to find the net.

Serhou Guirassy and Borussia Dortmund face a tough road test on Wednesday in the Champions League.

Goals Expected in Bodø on Wednesday

Kjetil Knutsen and Bodø/Glimt return home after a 5:0 loss to Bayern Munich on Matchday 1. Niko Kovač and Borussia Dortmund arrive off a 3:2 home win over Villarreal. Both results comfortably cleared 3.5 goals, and on paper this should be one of the most entertaining matches of the week. Neither team is built to play a low-scoring game.

Match Details

Competition: 2026-27 UEFA Champions League

Matchday: 2

Location: Bodø, Norway

Venue: Aspmyra Stadion

Date: Wednesday, Oct. 14, 2026

Time: 3:00 p.m. ET

Bodø/Glimt Play One Way

High-scoring games are simply the kind of football Bodø/Glimt play. They went over 3.5 goals in three of their four Champions League qualifiers this season, and all four went over 2.5. Last season, 10 of their 12 games in the competition went over 3.5. Both teams have scored in 14 of their last 18 Champions League matches across the two seasons.

Expect more of the same at home on the artificial pitch, especially with a weakened back line. Their best central defender, Odin Bjørtuft, is suspended, which leaves them more exposed against a Dortmund side that will create chances.

Dortmund Bring the Firepower

The Germans went over 3.5 goals in six of their eight Champions League matches last season, and both teams scored in seven of Dortmund’s last 11. These clubs also met in last season’s league phase, and that match finished 2:2 after Bodø/Glimt came from behind twice.

Serhou Guirassy is the man to watch. He has four goals in seven appearances, averages 1.62 shots on target per game in the Bundesliga, and put three shots on goal against Villarreal in the opener. Against a defense missing its best player, he should get his looks.

The Best Bet

The obvious angle is Over 3.5 Goals, but a 2:1 result for either side wouldn’t be a shock, and that scoreline sinks the over. This parlay covers it. Both teams scoring is backed by both clubs’ recent history, three goals is a lower bar for two attacks this productive, and Guirassy’s shot volume makes one effort on target very likely.

THE BEST BET
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Parlay: BTTS | Over 2.5 Goals | Guirassy Over 0.5 SOT

-116bet365

Odds subject to change

What Needs to Happen to Win This Bet

This is a three-leg parlay, so all three parts need to hit. First, both teams need to score at least once, at any point in the match. Second, the total needs to reach three or more goals combined. Third, Guirassy needs to put at least one shot on target, whether it goes in or is saved. The cleanest outcomes are a 2:1 for either side, a 2:2 draw, or a 3:1 with goals from both teams and Guirassy testing the goalkeeper. A 1:0, 2:0, or 3:0 result, or a 1:1 draw that stalls under three goals, means a losing ticket. If Guirassy doesn’t start or goes the full match without a shot on target, the ticket loses even if the scoreline cooperates, so check the lineups before kickoff.

Nikola Lalic

Nikola Lalic

Soccer Specialist

Nikola "NikolaQQ" Lalic is a soccer analyst and sports bettor specializing in major soccer tournaments. His approach is based on careful match analysis, with an emphasis on finding pricing inefficiencies and identifying value where it appears in the market.

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